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Hershey Company (The) (HSY) Trade Card™

Hershey Company (The) (HSY)
92.67 0.76000000000001 (0.83%)
Sector: Food, Beverage and Tobacco
Published by Capital Market Laboratories on 2018-06-23

What does this rating mean?
STOCK RETURNS
3Mo: -4.5%   |   6Mo: -19.4%  |   12Mo: -16.2%

TECHNICAL RATING
10DMA: $92.2  |  50DMA: $92.4  |  200DMA: $102.9
What does this rating mean?

Fundamentals     

➜ HSY generates $1.3222 in revenue for every $1 in expense, which is quite high and above the sector average of $1.05.

➜ HSY generates $444,000 in revenue per employee which is below the sector average of $643,000.

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HSY has seen revenue (TTM) rise over both one- and two-years by 1.6% and 4.5%, respectively. Revenue in the most recent trailing-twelve-months is $7.61 billion. Last year HSY reported $7.49 billion and two-years ago annual revenue was $7.28 billion.

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Technicals   |   Support: 91.22   |   Resistance: 94   

Swing Death Cross Alert: The short-term 10 day MA is now below the 50 day MA.

HSY has a three bull (stock is range bound) technical rating because its trading above its 10- and 50-day moving averages, but below its 200- day moving average. The stock is up on the day but the 10-day MA is below the 50 day MA ("swing death cross").


Earnings Estimates
Earnings Date
2018-04-25
EPS
$1.42
Revenue (Mean)
$
Revenue (Median)
$
Last Quarter (Actual)
$1.97 billion


Fundamentals Rating Summary


Metric Current 1yr Ago 2yr Ago Direction
Revenue (TTM US$ Millions)Rising 7,608 7,491 7,278 Rising

Operating Margin (QTR)Rising 1.32 1.12 1.23 Rising

Net Income (TTM US$ Millions)Rising 1,009 588 498 Rising

Levered Free Cash Flow (TTM US$ Millions)Rising 1,051 552 520 Rising

Capital Expenditures (TTM US$ Millions)
Rising
285 261 336
Rising




Stock Returns and Chart


HSY is down -4.5% over the last three months and down -19.4% over the last six months. The stock has returned -16.2% over the last year.

Before we dig into the fundamental trends that drive the rating, let's look at a two-year stock chart with regression channel and 10-day momentum (on the bottom).

Note: You can change time horizons by clicking the or buttons near the bottom of the chart. You can examine a one minute day trading chart by clicking the at the top left corner of the chart.

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Now let's examine the visualizations of the critical financial measures.


Enter Symbol


METRIC CURRENT 1YR AGO 2YR AGO DIRECTION
Revenue (TTM US$ Millions) 7,6087,4917,278Rising

Revenue over the trailing twelve months (TTM) for HSY is rising. For the most recent (annual) period the company reported $7.61 billion from $7.49 billion a year ago, or a 1.6% change. The two-year change in revenue (TTM) is $330 million (a 4.5% change).

What do all these numbers mean?
HSY's fundamental rating benefited these results:
1. The one-year change was positive (but no extra points were given for a large percentage increase).
2. The two-year change was positive.

Let's look at Revenue (TTM US$ Millions) in the chart below.


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Enter Symbol



METRIC CURRENT 1YR AGO 2YR AGO DIRECTION
Operating Revenues/Operating Expense 1.321.121.23Rising

Operating Revenues/Operating Expense
Operating revenue over operating expense simply shows us how much revenue (in dollars) is generated for every dollar of expense. The ratio must be (at a minimum) above 1.0 in order for a company to turn an operating profit. For the latest quarter HSY showed a ratio of 1.32.

What do all these numbers mean?
A year ago Operating Revenues/Operating Expense was 1.12. In the last year we can see operating margins are increasing and are also currently greater than 1.0 (the critical level).

HSY's fundamental rating was affected from the operating margin numbers in two ways:
1. The current value is above 1.0 (the firm generates an operating profit).
2. The one-year change was positive (raises the rating).

Let's look at Operating Revenues/Operating Expense in the chart below with the total assets in the orange line.


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Revenue per Employee


Before we turn to earnings and cash flow analysis, let's look at a different view of revenue on a scatter plot with peers for some perspective.

On the x-axis we equal space the companies and on the y-axis we plot revenue per employee (TTM) in $millions. For this chart, the upper right hand corner is "best" and the lower left hand corner is "worst." The company with the top revenue per employee is marked in green.

HSY 's value is $444,000 million per employee (find it on the y-axis).



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METRIC CURRENT 1YR AGO 2YR AGO DIRECTION
Net Income (TTM US$ Millions) 1,009588498Rising

Net Income (after tax profit) over the trailing twelve months (TTM) for HSY is rising. For the most recent trailing-twelve-months (TTM) the company reported net income of $1,009 (million). That's an increase in the most recent year from $588 (million) or a 71.47% change.

In our next chart we plot Net Income (TTM US$ Millions) in the blue bars and the quarterly results in the gold line. Note the rising bars from a year ago (four quarters ago).


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METRIC CURRENT 1YR AGO 2YR AGO DIRECTION
Levered Free Cash Flow (TTM US$ Millions) 1,051552520Rising

Levered Free Cash Flow (TTM US$ Millions) is a critical determinant of stock price since market cap is the present value of all future free cash flows. For HSY the metric is falling (it was $552 million last year). For the most recent trailing-twelve-months the company reported Levered Free Cash Flow (TTM US$ Millions) of $1,051 million. That's an increase in the most recent year from $552 million or a 90.28% rise.

This cash metric is up $531 million from $520 million two-years ago.

For our next chart we plot Levered Free Cash Flow (TTM US$ Millions) in the blue bars through time. Note the falling bars from a year ago (four quarters ago).


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METRIC CURRENT 1YR AGO 2YR AGO DIRECTION
Capital Expenditures (TTM US$ Millions) 285261336
Rising

Capital Expenditures (TTM US$ Millions) in the most recent quarter for HSY was $285 million. CapEx is rising (8.87%) from last year's value of $261 million. Further, we can see that CapEx today relative to two-years ago is decreasing (-15.20%) from last year's value of $336 million.

In our final time series chart we plot Capital Expenditures (TTM US$ Millions) in the blue bars. Note the rising bars from one-year ago.


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